Armenia
is a country that has been deeply affected by the fall
of the Soviet Union and the corresponding lack of markets
for its products and subsequent collapse of industry.
This,
plus the war with Azerbijan over Ngorno-Karabagh (and
the related economic blockade by Turkey) and the devastating
earthquake of 1989 means the country has faced very difficult
circumstances. The limited avenues for import or export
are through Georgia and Iran. The Armenian genocide of
1920 is still very much alive in the public consciousness,
as is the accompanying loss of land in Turkey.
The
country boasts a very high level of education and most
people have housing, though the population is described
as very very poor, very poor, poor and rich. The small
middle class work for NGOs and banks. The average salary
is US$25 per month though average monthly living expenses
are US$80. The difference seems to be made up of remittances
from the diaspora. There are very few beggars or homeless
people. Half of all Armenians live in other countries
and emigration continues. It is common for people to have
a brother, cousin, etc who sends home US$100 or US$200
per month. This same sort of assistance provides seed
capital for projects. Many people also saved in gold during
the Soviet period. Those savings are now being used. People
generally seem to be better off than in 1994 when there
was a severe crisis and the country was left without power
or fuel as a result of the war. Fighting has stopped and
there is hope for a peace settlement. Fuel is imported
by truck and costs remain high; many families still live
without heat in winter and on basic diets. Growth has
resumed but a UNDP report notes that even with 6-8% growth
annually it will take 20 years for the economy to double.
Interest
rates in Armenia vary from 66% for urban micro lending
programs to 0% for some multilateral loans. The largest
rural lending programs lend at 18% declining balance.
By law, loans are made in Drams, the local currency. Because
of the low confidence in banks, savings rates start at
16% on the US$ and go up from there to attract savers.
The public has little confidence in banks as a result
of savings that were lost at the end of the Soviet era.
Inflation is very low and the local currency has maintained
a stable exchange rate against the dollar for over one
year. A period of very high inflation was experienced,
however, just after the introduction of the currency in
the mid 90s. There are a large number of Micro Finance
Institutions (MFIs) in Armenia, though one expert advises,
few are effective. A Credit Forum
has been established and meets monthly. ECLOF Armenia
is a member.
Collateral
is a problem for many farmers. Banks will not accept their
houses or land. Solidarity guarantees are working with
some MFIs and need to be explored by ECLOF. The major
problem for farmers is the lack of a market. They cannot
market themselves, there are no co-operatives and there
is almost no export market due to the problems already
mentioned. Rural households live on barter to a great
extent.
The
ECLOF Geneva Board recognised ECLOF Armenia in November
1998. The National ECLOF Committee became operational
in 1999 with the first loans being disbursed in June 1999.
In the first twelve months of operation, the committee
has approved 32 loans with a total value of US$340,000.
Due to the high level of emigration from rural areas because
of the lack of work, the NEC has focused on rural lending.
During the first few months, the committee relied on the
support of Board members and one staff member who they
recruited in September 1999. During this time the support
from the World Council of Churches Roundtable was very
important, and was a major factor in the committee becoming
operational so quickly. The committee has now recruited
a Programme Manager and accountant, in addition to the
Executive Secretary previously appointed, and today staff
are fully responsible for all operational matters. A primary
objective now is to develop a full credit policy.
The
program has great potential and could grow into an important
Armenian MFI. The current leadership wishes to develop
a rural based agricultural programme. The need for this
kind of lending is extensive. As lending capital grows,
regional offices would need to be established to manage
loans on a regional basis. Apart from revolving the existing
capital, the committee projects it will require up to
US$400,000 in new lending capital annually.